Period of performance:
Ensuring food security into the future, especially in industrializing regions, will involve not just ensuring sufficient supply and distribution, but also ensuring that food remains safe for human consumption. A key pollutant that can cause health impacts in humans is mercury, which is released into the atmosphere via coal-fired electricity generation and other industrial activities. As monomethylmercury (MMHG), it is toxic and bioaccumulative, and can cause neurotoxic impacts. Recently, rice – a staple food for over half the global population -- was identified as a potential MMHg exposure pathway to humans. In China in particular, MMHg exposure via rice ingestion is becoming an emerging food security issue. China is the world’s largest producer and consumer of rice as well as the largest source of mercury pollution in the world. Despite this, there has been little attention to exploring this problem to better understand where and when this contamination can affect food security. In particular, this is because mercury sources, deposition and biogeochemical processes governing MMHg bioaccumulation in rice are complex and vary in time and space.
Our research seeks to better understand the issue of MMHg in rice, from the perspective of food security. We have three objectives: 1) identify critical locations in China where the risk of MMHg is high, 2) understand the sources and processes by which MMHg contaminates rice, and 3) project future changes in MMHg levels in rice grains. To do this, we will link environmental modeling (including atmospheric mercury transport and rice MMHg bioaccumulation) with economic cost analysis of MMHg contamination. We will use state-of-the-art tools, linking the GEOS-Chem atmospheric chemical transport model for mercury with the China-Regional Energy Model (C-REM), a global energy-economic model with provincial-level detail in China.
The outcome of this project will be a greater understanding of present and projected future changes in MMHg levels in rice and potential impacts to food security. Results will enable identifying policy recommendations and remediation strategies for minimizing risks, and will be communicated with local and national communities in China.